Managerial changes are too common in the modern day game. Already in the 16/17 season, we have seen 14 managers lose their job from the Premier League to League Two. Swansea’s Francesco Guidolin became the first top division manager to lose his job but already question marks are raised regarding the future of the likes of David Moyes and Mike Phelan.
Using the power of Football Manager 17, we attempt to predict who will be managing the 20 clubs currently in the Premier League in five years’ time.
Manager: Massimiliano Allegri
Duration at team: 332 days
Win %: 64
Highest fee spent: £44.5m on Filippo Melegoni
According to FM, current Juventus manager, Massimiliano Allegri will take the reins of the Gunners following the departure of Arsene Wenger. The Frenchman resigned from his role in 2020 after 23 years with the club. His later years were extremely successful, winning back-to-back league titles and the Champions League. Wenger left to take the France job giving Allegri a chance to take over. The Gunners finished third in Allegri’s first season in charge despite spending £91m in his first transfer window.
Manager: Eddie Howe
Duration at team: 8 years, 271 days
Win %: 44
Highest fee spent: £17m for Rob Holding
Bournemouth manager, Eddie Howe, is one of the few managers to still be with their current club according to our simulation. The Englishman has been tipped to be a future England manager following his success with the Cherries, but the FA opted to appoint Roberto Martinez. Howe led Bournemouth to the FA Cup in 2021 and broke their transfer record to secure the signature of Rob Holding from Arsenal.
Manager: Sean Dyche
Duration at team: 8 years, 244 days
Win %: 28
Highest fee spent: £16 for George Hirst
Like Howe, Burnley manager, Sean Dyche is still managing his current team. The Clarets boss was responsible for securing their promotion back to the Premier League. Burnley went from strength-to-strength after moving up to the top division; finishing 10th in 2017. The Clarets have managed to stave off the threat of relegation since and have established themselves as a Premier League side pushing for the top half of the table.
Manager: Roberto Mancini
Duration at team: 3 years, 165 days
Win %: 63
Highest fee spent: £44m for Bernardo Silva
Despite their impressive form already this season, FM predicts that their season will derail which will cost Antonio Conte his job in his first year at the club. The Italian was dismissed in March 2017 and replaced with Marcelo Bielsa. The Spaniard endured a similar fate as Roman Abramovich wielded his managerial axe yet again just 284 days into Bielsa’s reign. He appointed ex-Manchester City manager, Roberto Mancini, who has been with the club ever since; guiding them to consecutive second place finishes.
Manager: Slaven Bilic
Duration at team: 3 years, four days
Win %: 63
Highest fee spent: £26m for Felipe Caicedo
Crystal Palace followed a similar model to Chelsea and went through four managers in the five-year simulation. Alan Pardew was sacked in December 2016 and replaced with former Barcelona manager, Gerardo Martino who lasted just nine months at the helm. The Eagles appointed Guus Hiddink who was also dismissed after just 134 days in the hot seat. Current West Ham manager, Slaven Bilic, finally ended the run of sackings following an upturn in form resulting in an impressive 63% win percentage.
Manager: Ernesto Valverde
Duration at team: 62 days
Win %: 0
Highest fee spent: £0
Ronald Koeman was another Premier League manager to lose their job inside a year on our FM simulation. The ex-Southampton boss struggled at Goodison Park, leaving the Blues 17th on the table on his departure. He was replaced with Aitor Karanka who took control for over three years. Following Karanka’s departure, Everton legend Duncan Ferguson took over on an interim basis before Farhad Moshiri appointed former Athletic Bilbao manager, Ernesto Valverde, for the 21/22 season.
Manager: Ryan Giggs
Duration at team: 3 years, three days
Win %: 27
Highest fee spent: £4.6m for Patrick Roberts
Manchester United legend, Ryan Giggs, took his first managerial role after Mike Phelan lost his job at Hull in 2018. The Tigers were relegated and looked to Giggs’ experience to help bring them back to the Premier League. The Welshman guided his side to the Championship title in 2019 and finished a respectable 14th in his first season back in the big time despite spending just £20m on new recruits.
Manager: Claudio Ranieri
Duration at team: 5 years, 353 days
Win %: 50
Highest fee spent: £26m for Amadou Diawara
Perhaps unsurprisingly, Leicester’s title-winning manager, Claudio Ranieri remains the manager at the King Power. Despite dropping to eighth after their fairytale season of 2015/16, the Foxes remained in the hunt for European qualification. They were knocked out in the knockout stages in their maiden Champions League campaign but won the EFL Cup back-to-back in 2018.
Manager: Jurgen Klopp
Duration at team: 5 years, 266 days
Win %: 53
Highest fee spent: £43m for Inaki Williams
Liverpool fans will be glad to know that manager Jurgen Klopp will still be at the club in five years’ time according to FM. The ex-Borussia Dortmund manager has revitalized the club since his arrived in 2015 and led the Reds to a Europa League final in his first season. The German guided Liverpool back into the top four but could not progress past the group stages of the Champions League. It was not all doom and gloom as Liverpool lifted the Europa League and UEFA Super Cup in 2018.
Manager: Leonardo Jardim
Duration at team: 1 years, 130 days
Win %: 63
Highest fee spent: £77m for Renato Sanches
Almost four years without winning a major trophy meant current boss, Pep Guardiola, was sacked in 2020. The former Barcelona manager could not adapt to life in England and struggled against a dominant Arsenal side. The Citizens appointed current Monaco boss, Leonardo Jardim, who along with a transfer war chest, won the Premier League, Europa League, and EFL Cup in his first season at the club.
Manager: Carlo Ancelotti
Duration at team: 2 years, 24 days
Win %: 64
Highest fee spent: £88m for Mauro Icardi
Manchester United’s Jose Mourinho endured a similar fate to Guardiola, being sacked after three years in charge but enjoyed a successful stint with the Red Devils. He guided United to the Premier League title in 2017 thanks to the goals of Antoine Griezmann and lifted the FA Cup in the same year. He added the EFL Cup to his trophy collection in 2019 but was replaced by Carlo Ancelotti at the end of the season. The Italian won the title in his first season in the club and also lifted the Europa League. The ex-Milan manager also won the Champions League in 2021.
Manager: Steve Bruce
Duration at team: 1 year, 171 days
Win %: 15
Highest fee spent: £6.8m for Cauley Woodrow
Unfortunately for Middlesbrough, they returned to the SkyBet Championship in our five-year simulation. ‘Boro were flying under Karanka, but after the Spaniard had left for Everton, they plummeted back into the second division after appointing Roberto Di Matteo. The former Aston Villa manager was given two years to return Boro to the Premier League before Steve Bruce took over at the Riverside.
Manager: Jimmy Floyd Hasselbaink
Duration at team: 1 year, 194 days
Win %: 43
Highest fee spent: £8.5m for John Guidetti
Despite being sacked from his job at Queens Park Rangers, ex-Chelsea striker Jimmy Floyd Hasselbaink took the reins at Southampton in 2019. Claude Puel lasted over two years but was dismissed following a poor run of form. French legend, Laurent Blanc, took over the club in 2018 but struggled with life in England which gave Hasselbaink the chance to impress.
Manager: Karl Robinson
Duration at team: 120 days
Win %: 20
Highest fee spent: £4m for Famara Diedhiou
In the 2016/17 season, Stoke were bottom of the Premier League without a win in November. This resulted in Mark Hughes losing his job before Christmas and Sam Allardyce was given the job in the hope to keep the Potters up. The ex-England manager couldn’t do the job, and Stoke were relegated. However, one season in the Championship under Nigel Pearson was enough to bring Stoke back to the Premier League as champions. Now at the helm is former MK Dons manager, Karl Robinson.
Duration at team: 2 years, 121 days
Win %: 32
Highest fee spent: £7m for Marcel Sabitzer
Although Sunderland are currently bottom of the Premier League, FM backs the Black Cats to avoid the drop under David Moyes; finishing just above the relegation zone in 17th. Moyes was given another year to try and improve, but he was sacked after another poor year. Former Marseille manager, Michel, took over and led Sunderland to an FA Cup final in 2021.
Manager: Andre Villas-Boas
Duration at team: 2 years, 55 days
Win %: 21
Highest fee spent: 2 years, 91 days
Current Swansea boss, Bob Bradley, lasted just 145 days in the job as Swansea remained in the relegation zone. Former Barnsley manager, Paul Heckingbottom, was given the job to try and keep the Swans up but failed to do so. This forced the board to look to former Tottenham manager, Andre Villas-Boas who secured promotion at the first time of asking. However, a lack of signings contributed to the Swans being relegated in his first season in the Premier League.
Manager: Mauricio Pochettino
Duration at team: 7 years, 35 days
Win %: 63
Highest fee spent: £31m for Alessandro Florenzi
Tottenham’s Mauricio Pochettino remains in his job at Spurs to become one of the longest serving managers in the league. After finishing third in 2015/16, Pochettino guided his team to top four finishes in the next five years. The Argentine also lifted consecutive FA Cup and Community Shield victories in 2019. The club also moved to their home at New White Hart Lane in 2018.
Manager: Hayden Mullins
Duration at team: 1 year, 165 days
Win %: 31
Highest fee spent: £9m for Pedro Pereira
The most surprising appointment of the simulation could be former West Ham midfielder, Hayden Mullins at Vicarage Road. Walter Mazzarri resigned from his role in 2018 after two years at the club where he delivered the FA Cup in his last year in charge. Ex-Roma midfielder, Rudi Garcia, took over but was sacked just 186 days in the job. Mullins was given the job, finishing a respectable 13th in his first year.
Manager: Philipp Cocu
Duration at team: 160 days
Win %: 25
Highest fee spent: £16m for Jeremy Toljan
Many fans expected Tony Pulis to lose his job this summer following turmoil regarding the takeover at the club. The former Stoke manager kept his position but came under heavy criticism. He lasted until March 2017 in the role, being replaced by Alex Neil who could not keep the club up. Neil was able to guide the club back to the Premier League but was replaced by Phillip Cocu. The Dutch manager endured a torrid first year at the club and was relegated in his first year making his position extremely unsafe.
Manager: Rafael Benitez
Duration at team: 3 years, 182 days
Win %: 45
Highest fee spent: £35m for Breel Embolo
For the Hammers, ex-Liverpool manager, Rafael Benitez, has been in control of the club since December 2017. Bilic led to the club to another top seven finish in 16/17, but a takeover of the club by a foreign consortium cost him his job. He was replaced by Benitez, who had guided Newcastle back to the Premier League. The Spaniard led West Ham to within two points of fourth place and reached an FA Cup final in 2020.